August 08, 2005

Osama bin Laden and "Definitive Intelligence"

Damn those book-writing career CIA officers!

[I]n a forthcoming book, the CIA field commander for the agency's Jawbreaker team at Tora Bora, Gary Berntsen, says he and other U.S. commanders did know that bin Laden was among the hundreds of fleeing Qaeda and Taliban members. Berntsen says he had definitive intelligence that bin Laden was holed up at Tora Bora—intelligence operatives had tracked him—and could have been caught. "He was there," Berntsen tells NEWSWEEK. Asked to comment on Berntsen's remarks, National Security Council spokesman Frederick Jones passed on 2004 statements from former CENTCOM commander Gen. Tommy Franks. "We don't know to this day whether Mr. bin Laden was at Tora Bora in December 2001," Franks wrote in an Oct. 19 New York Times op-ed. "Bin Laden was never within our grasp." Berntsen says Franks is "a great American. But he was not on the ground out there. I was."

As the Newsweek article mentions, the president denied that we knew where bin Laden was during the campaign:

Bush, Kerry charged, "didn't choose to use American forces to hunt down and kill" the leader of Al Qaeda. The president called his opponent's allegation "the worst kind of Monday-morning quarterbacking." Bush asserted that U.S. commanders on the ground did not know if bin Laden was at the mountain hideaway along the Afghan border.

The piece says that the book portrays the CIA's action on Afghanistan in heroic terms, and draws attention to the extended review process by the CIA (which they do for all former staffers who write books to restrict the accidental release of classified information.

"They're just holding the book," which is scheduled for October release, he says. "CIA officers, Special Forces and U.S. air power drove the Taliban out in 70 days. The CIA has taken roughly 80 days to clear my book."

Posted by binky at August 8, 2005 06:22 PM | TrackBack | Posted to International Affairs


Comments

Yes, how can we doubt the CIA when it comes to having definitive intelligence (read: slam dunk case)?

Posted by: Morris at August 8, 2005 10:14 PM | PERMALINK

the downington memo speaks pretty well to the circumstances when the CIA is leveraged into saying what serves the administration. the let osama go meme, however, disserves the admin, and has come from an ever increasing number of sources. i know it's hard to believe we'd get so far under the covers with anyone (ahem, pakistan) that we'd let our super-villain get away for political reasons, but then it's hard to believe we'd sell out a clandestine officer just to exercise a grudge. the truth is, this is just more playing fast and loose by the administration voted most likely to ride naked down the street thinking it looks just fine.

Posted by: joshua at August 9, 2005 09:31 AM | PERMALINK

At the minimum it shows a huge gap in effective communication within the relevant agencies.

I am not surprised this stuff is starting to come out. The publishing and CIA approval pipelines being what they are, it's clear that it would take time for this kind of information to emerge. And sure, the people who write these things are among the disgruntled, but it's never the "in favor" who write the expose. I'll be curious to see whether Berntsen gets called for "Monday morning quarterbacking."

Posted by: binky at August 9, 2005 10:08 AM | PERMALINK

"i know it's hard to believe we'd get so far under the covers with anyone (ahem, pakistan) that we'd let our super-villain get away for political reasons, but then it's hard to believe we'd sell out a clandestine officer just to exercise a grudge"
I believe this is what's called suggesting one unproven thing is true because of another unproven thing. From what I've heard of the Rove tape, there's no reason to believe it was anything intentional (not that she wasn't outed already--that's why she was back in Washington, remember?). Let's let political ex-covert agents and their husbands print whatever lies they want to print in the NYT, and anyone who draws attention to their lying is a traitor, right?

Posted by: Morris at August 9, 2005 10:15 AM | PERMALINK

Binky,
I don't think book publishers are standing in line to print a book confirming what the government has said. Where's the drama in that?

Posted by: Morris at August 9, 2005 10:18 AM | PERMALINK

"Political ex-covert agents"? Oh, puh-leeze Morris.

I forgot that Valerie Plame had left the CIA and taken a job as head of the vast Left Wing Conspiracy.

Though in terms of what's really "news" - I'm not sure that this is really new news, it's been at the very least extremely strongly suspected for ages. And the idea that the president would lie about it, well, of course he would. He's George Bush after all. But ... well, that doesn't mean that new details are not worth reporting.

Oh, though Mo - if you believe what you wrote - how do administration officials get such big book contracts?

Posted by: Armand at August 9, 2005 12:01 PM | PERMALINK

Bro,
Only high level administration officials get the big book contracts; no field commander (who couldn't make assistant to the assistant to the assistant) in the CIA is going to get a book deal like this by agreeing with Bush and Tommy Franks.
And let's not forget that the only reason Valerie's company was outed was because she listed it, connecting it to her name when making a donation to the DNC. Most people don't make donations to either party; she did, ergo, she's political.

Posted by: Morris at August 9, 2005 01:05 PM | PERMALINK

So, what - any person who ever in their entire life makes a political donation is "political"? Well what does THAT mean? If you make a donation to the local coroner ... what? You are forever to be distrusted or shifty or something? I just don't get what this political contribution stuff has to do with anything. Should we assume that anyone who's ever given Bush money will only do what he says (if so, we really shouldn't confirm a lot of judges), or that the #1 goal in life of anyone who gave money to Kerry is the destruction of George W. Bush?

And how exactly did Plame "out" herself by using her cover to identify herself? I thought that the whole reason you had a cover was to use it.

And there are a plethora of books on post-9/11 foreign policy. The idea that only critics of the Bush administration get published is nonsense.

Posted by: Armand at August 9, 2005 01:15 PM | PERMALINK
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