July 21, 2006

The Race for the US House in Light of 2nd Quarter Money

Barring some change in the dynamics of the races in Arizona and Virginia, I don't see how the Democrats can win control of the US Senate in this election cycle. But the US House looks very much up for grabs. Democrats have been doing a strikingly good job at fundraising, much better than usual, particularly when it comes to funding challengers to incumbents. They "dominate the list of the best-financed challengers". And that's having very clear effects, creating possibilities for victory in districts where Democrats haven't been competitive for years. The result - in this week's rankings of US House races, Chris Cillizza of The Washington Post writes that 16 of the 17 districts most likely to flip this November are currently held by Republicans (the lone exception being Leonard Boswell's district in Iowa which he ranks as the 12th most endangered in the country). Presuming no one switches parties, the Democrats need to pick up 15 seats to win control of the House.

Posted by armand at July 21, 2006 09:01 AM | TrackBack | Posted to Politics


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