That's according to the AP.
So, how do you think this will affect the rest of the race for the nomination?
Posted by armand at January 30, 2008 09:14 AM | TrackBack | Posted to PoliticsThe quick and obvious answer is that it depends on whether he endorses someone, and if he does so before next Tuesday.
I don't have a good feel for whether his supporters' second choice is more likely to be HRC or Obama. Maybe after I drink some more coffee I'll go look for some polling data.
Posted by: jacflash at January 30, 2008 10:14 AM | PERMALINKIt helps Clinton. While the initial thought was that Edwards and Obama have been dividing the anti-Clinton vote, that overlooks race. Considering that Obama has been getting only 25% of white voters (maybe only isn't the right word given history) and that virtually all of Edwards' voters have been white, I think it unlikely that Obama now pulls half of those voters. It may very well be that Clinton and Edwards have been splitting the anti-Obama vote.
Posted by: Bruce at January 30, 2008 10:20 AM | PERMALINKMy first thought is to agree with you Bruce. I think this is terrible news for Obama in the South. And I think that Clinton is still many peoples default choice, so unless they have some reason to oppose her ... well, I suppose I too need to look more closely at the poll numbers, but my first thought is that this helps HRC.
Posted by: Armand at January 30, 2008 10:44 AM | PERMALINKIntriguing theory making the rounds: Edwards dropped out today to steal the news cycle from Hillary and her FL "win". He'll play coy for a couple of days and then endorse Obama and get another news cycle out of it.
Not sure what I make of it, but it explains the timing well.
Posted by: jacflash at January 30, 2008 08:54 PM | PERMALINK